Sannadkii 2023, 153 qof ayaa u dhintay qandhada dengue ee Kerala, taasoo ka dhigan 32% dhimashada dengue ee Hindiya. Bihar waa gobolka labaad ee ugu badan ee dhimashada dengue, iyadoo kaliya 74 dhimasho dengue ah la soo sheegay, in ka yar kala badh tirada Kerala. Sannad ka hor, saynisyahanka cimilada Roxy Mathew Call, oo ka shaqaynayay qaabka saadaasha cudurka dengue, wuxuu la xidhiidhay isbeddelka cimilada ugu sarreeya ee Kerala iyo sarkaalka caafimaadka oo waydiisanaya maalgelinta mashruuca. Kooxdiisa oo ka tirsan Machadka Hindida ee Saadaasha Hawada Kulaylaha (IITM) waxay soo saareen nooc la mid ah Pune. Dr Khil, oo ah saynisyahan cimilo oo ka tirsan machadka saadaasha hawada kulaylaha ee Hindiya (IITM), ayaa yidhi, "Tani waxay si wayn uga faa'iidaysan doontaa waaxda caafimaadka ee Kerala maadaama ay ka caawin doonto in si taxadar leh loola socdo loona qaado talaabooyin ka hortag ah si looga hortago dhacdooyinka cudurada." sarkaal nodal.
Dhammaan waxa la siiyay waxay ahaayeen ciwaannada emailka rasmiga ah ee Agaasimaha Caafimaadka Dadweynaha iyo Agaasime ku xigeenka Caafimaadka Dadweynaha. Inkasta oo iimaylo xusuusin ah iyo fariimo qoraal ah, wax xog ah lama bixin.
Isla sidaas oo kale ayaa khuseeysa xogta roobabka. "Marka la eego aragtida saxda ah, saadaasha saxda ah, digniinta saxda ah iyo siyaasadaha saxda ah, nafo badan ayaa la badbaadin karaa," ayuu yiri Dr Cole, oo helay abaalmarinta sayniska ee Hindiya ugu sareysa sanadkan, Vigyan Yuva Shanti Swarup Bhatnagar Geologist Award. Waxa uu jeediyay khudbad uu cinwaan uga dhigay 'Climate: What's sunder in the balance' ee Manorama Conclave ee Thiruvananthapuram Jimcihii.
Dr. "Cimiladu ma isbedeleyso oo kaliya, si dhakhso ah ayay isu beddeshaa," ayuu yidhi. Xalka keliya, ayuu yidhi, waa in la abuuro Kerala-saaxiibtinimo deegaanka. "Waa inaan diirada saarno heerka panchayat-ka. Wadooyinka, dugsiyada, guryaha, tas-hiilaadka kale iyo dhulka beeraha waa in la waafajiyaa isbedelka cimilada," ayuu yidhi.
Marka hore, wuxuu yidhi, Kerala waa inay abuurtaa shabakad la socodka cimilada cufan oo waxtar leh. 30-kii Luulyo, maalintii uu dhacay dhul go'a Wayanad, Waaxda Saadaasha Hawada Hindiya (IMD) iyo Maamulka Maareynta Masiibooyinka Gobolka Kerala (KSDMA) ayaa sii daayay laba khariidado cabbiraadda roobka oo kala duwan. Marka loo eego khariidadda KSDMA, Wayaanad waxa ay heshay roob aad u culus (in ka badan 115mm) iyo da'ay da'ay July 30, si kastaba ha ahaatee, IMD waxay siisay Wayanad afar akhrin oo kala duwan: roob aad u culus, roob culus, roob dhexdhexaad ah iyo roob fudud;
Marka loo eego khariidadda IMD, inta badan degmooyinka Thiruvananthapuram iyo Kollam waxay heleen roobab fudud ilaa aad u yar, laakiin KSDMA waxay sheegtay in labadan degmo ay heleen roobab dhexdhexaad ah. "Ma u dulqaadan karno maalmahan, waa inaan abuurnaa shabakad la socodka cimilada oo cufan gudaha Kerala si aan si sax ah u fahanno oo aan u saadaalino cimilada," ayuu yiri Dr Kohl. "Xogtan waa in si guud loo helo," ayuu yidhi.
Kerala waxaa ku yaal dugsi 3 kiiloomitir kasta. Dugsiyadan waxaa lagu qalabayn karaa qalabka xakamaynta cimilada. "Dugsi kasta waxaa lagu qalabayn karaa cabbirada roobka iyo heerkulbeegyada si loo cabbiro heerkulka, 2018, hal dugsi ayaa kormeeray roobabka iyo heerka biyaha webiga Meenachil wuxuuna badbaadiyay 60 qoys oo hoos yimaada iyadoo la saadaaliyay fatahaadaha," ayuu yidhi.
Sidoo kale, dugsiyadu waxay noqon karaan kuwo ku shaqeeya tamarta cadceedda waxayna sidoo kale yeelan karaan haamo lagu gurto biyaha roobka. "Sidan, ardaydu ma ogaan doonaan oo kaliya isbedelka cimilada, laakiin sidoo kale waxay u diyaar garoobaan," ayuu yidhi. Xogtoodu waxay noqon doontaa qayb ka mid ah shabakadda la socodka.
Si kastaba ha ahaatee, saadaasha daadadka iyo dhul goynta waxay u baahan tahay isuduwidda iyo iskaashiga dhowr waaxood, sida juqraafi iyo biyo, si loo abuuro moodallo. "Waan samayn karnaa tan," ayuu yidhi.
Tobankii sano, 17 mitir oo dhul ah ayaa lumaya. Dr Cole oo ka tirsan machadka saadaasha hawada kulaala ee Hindiya ayaa sheegay in heerka badda uu kor u kacay 3 millimitir sanadkii tan iyo 1980-kii, ama 3 sentimitir tobankii sano. Waxa uu sheegay in inkastoo ay u muuqato mid yar, haddii jiiradaasi ay tahay 0.1 oo kaliya in 17 mitir oo dhul ah uu nabaad guurayo. "Waa isla sheeko hore, marka la gaaro 2050, heerka badda wuxuu kor u qaadi doonaa 5 millimitir sanadkii," ayuu yidhi.
Sidoo kale, tan iyo 1980-kii, tirada duufaannada ayaa kordhay 50 boqolkiiba, muddada ay socdeenna 80 boqolkiiba, ayuu yidhi. Inta lagu jiro muddadan, xadiga roobabka ba'an ayaa saddex laabmay. Waxa uu sheegay in sanadka 2050, roobabku ay kor u qaadi doonaan 10% heerkul kasta oo Celsius ah.
Saamaynta Isbeddelka Isticmaalka Dhulka Daraasad lagu sameeyay Jasiiradda Heat ee Magaalada Trivandrum (UHI) (erey loo isticmaalo in lagu qeexo meelaha magaaladu ka diiran yihiin meelaha miyiga ah) ayaa lagu ogaaday in heerkulka meelaha la dhisay ama kaymaha shubka ah uu kor ugu kici doono 30. 82 darajo Celsius marka la barbardhigo 25.92 darajo Celsius. 1988-kii – waxa uu booday ku dhawaad 5 digrii 34 sano gudahood.
Daraasadda uu soo bandhigay Dr. Cole ayaa muujisay in meelaha furan heerkulku uu ka kici doono 25.92 darajo Celsius 1988 ilaa 26.8 darajo Celsius sanadka 2022. Meelaha dhirta leh, heerkulku wuxuu kor u kacay 26.61 darajo Celsius ilaa 30.82 darajo Celsius 2022, boodada 4.21 darajo.
Heerkulka biyaha waxaa la diiwaan geliyay 25.21 darajo Celsius, wax yar ka hooseeya 25.66 darajo Celsius ee la diiwaan geliyay 1988, heerkulku wuxuu ahaa 24.33 darajo Celsius;
Dr. "Isbeddellada noocan oo kale ah ee isticmaalka dhulka waxay sidoo kale ka dhigi karaan dhulka mid u nugul dhul-goynta iyo daadadka," ayuu yidhi.
Dr Cole wuxuu sheegay in wax ka qabashada isbeddelka cimilada ay u baahan tahay istaraatiijiyad laba waji leh: yaraynta iyo la qabsiga. "Yareeynta isbeddelka cimiladu hadda waa ka baxsan tahay awoodeena. Tani waa in lagu sameeyaa heer caalami ah. Kerala waa in ay diiradda saarto la qabsiga. KSDMA waxay aqoonsatay meelo kulul. Sii qalab xakamaynta cimilada panchayat kasta," ayuu yidhi.
Waqtiga post: Seb-23-2024